**President Lee Jae-myung, who took office in June 2025, benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84 that suspends all five pending criminal trials—including election-law violations, development corruption, and Ssangbangwool remittances—while he serves as head of state.** Courts have paused proceedings citing his status, with no executed arrests or new indictments reported in recent months. In his September 18, 2026 press conference, Lee called for a special counsel probe into alleged prior prosecutorial manipulation but explicitly urged lawmakers to remove provisions allowing transfer or dismissal of existing cases, aiming to sidestep political controversy. His approval rating has fallen to around 37 percent amid domestic policy debates, yet no legislative or judicial shifts have altered the procedural barriers to detention before the end of 2026. Traders price the “No” outcome at 92.7 percent, reflecting these structural protections and the absence of imminent enforcement actions.