Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
11°C or below 52%
21°C or higher 52%
18°C 39%
20°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
52%
12°C
16%
13°C
17%
14°C
14%
15°C
33%
16°C
29%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
18%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
52%
11°C or below 52%
21°C or higher 52%
18°C 39%
20°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
52%
12°C
$0 KL.
16%
13°C
$0 KL.
17%
14°C
$0 KL.
14%
15°C
$0 KL.
33%
16°C
$0 KL.
29%
17°C
$0 KL.
22%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
18%
20°C
$0 KL.
39%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear night over Beijing on September 12–13, 2026, with light northerly winds, low humidity around 30–50%, and minimal cloud cover promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. This setup favors a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the market's top outcomes at 15–16°C. Slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds create the close probabilities across 15–18°C bins, while the 21°C+ share reflects residual uncertainty if daytime heat lingers longer. Historical September minima average near 15°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with resolution depending on the precise hourly low reported by official stations. Updated CMA guidance and overnight observations will refine trader positioning before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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