**Trader sentiment for Busan's minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on uncertainty in short-range model guidance amid lingering summer heat and potential atmospheric shifts.** Current Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather outlooks point to overnight lows near 23–26°C (73–79°F), aligning closely with Busan's late-August climatology where average minima hover around 24°C and rarely drop below 20–22°C. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 23–28°C range. A persistent heatwave across South Korea, with recent peaks above 40°C in nearby areas, has maintained warm, humid conditions influenced by the North Pacific High, yet emerging model runs hint at possible nocturnal cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or steering influences tied to Typhoon Saudel tracking nearby. These factors introduce variance that traders appear to price into the leading 19°C-or-below outcome (48% implied probability), while the low odds for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential under typical diurnal ranges. Updated KMA forecasts and any revised model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely drive the sharpest shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 24?
19°C or below 94%
23°C 51%
24°C 51%
27°C 51%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
94%
20°C
7%
21°C
48%
22°C
50%
23°C
51%
24°C
51%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
51%
28°C
51%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 94%
23°C 51%
24°C 51%
27°C 51%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
19°C or below
$0 KL.
94%
20°C
$0 KL.
7%
21°C
$0 KL.
48%
22°C
$0 KL.
50%
23°C
$0 KL.
51%
24°C
$0 KL.
51%
25°C
$0 KL.
27%
26°C
$0 KL.
27%
27°C
$0 KL.
51%
28°C
$0 KL.
51%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on uncertainty in short-range model guidance amid lingering summer heat and potential atmospheric shifts.** Current Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather outlooks point to overnight lows near 23–26°C (73–79°F), aligning closely with Busan's late-August climatology where average minima hover around 24°C and rarely drop below 20–22°C. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 23–28°C range.
A persistent heatwave across South Korea, with recent peaks above 40°C in nearby areas, has maintained warm, humid conditions influenced by the North Pacific High, yet emerging model runs hint at possible nocturnal cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or steering influences tied to Typhoon Saudel tracking nearby. These factors introduce variance that traders appear to price into the leading 19°C-or-below outcome (48% implied probability), while the low odds for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential under typical diurnal ranges. Updated KMA forecasts and any revised model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely drive the sharpest shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on uncertainty in short-range model guidance amid lingering summer heat and potential atmospheric shifts.** Current Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather outlooks point to overnight lows near 23–26°C (73–79°F), aligning closely with Busan's late-August climatology where average minima hover around 24°C and rarely drop below 20–22°C. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 23–28°C range.
A persistent heatwave across South Korea, with recent peaks above 40°C in nearby areas, has maintained warm, humid conditions influenced by the North Pacific High, yet emerging model runs hint at possible nocturnal cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or steering influences tied to Typhoon Saudel tracking nearby. These factors introduce variance that traders appear to price into the leading 19°C-or-below outcome (48% implied probability), while the low odds for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential under typical diurnal ranges. Updated KMA forecasts and any revised model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely drive the sharpest shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Busan's minimum temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on uncertainty in short-range model guidance amid lingering summer heat and potential atmospheric shifts.** Current Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather outlooks point to overnight lows near 23–26°C (73–79°F), aligning closely with Busan's late-August climatology where average minima hover around 24°C and rarely drop below 20–22°C. This baseline supports elevated market-implied odds for the 23–28°C range. A persistent heatwave across South Korea, with recent peaks above 40°C in nearby areas, has maintained warm, humid conditions influenced by the North Pacific High, yet emerging model runs hint at possible nocturnal cooling from increased cloud cover, scattered showers, or steering influences tied to Typhoon Saudel tracking nearby. These factors introduce variance that traders appear to price into the leading 19°C-or-below outcome (48% implied probability), while the low odds for 29°C+ reflect limited upside potential under typical diurnal ranges. Updated KMA forecasts and any revised model consensus over the next 48 hours will likely drive the sharpest shifts ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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