Forecasts for Helsinki's September 13 minimum temperature show close market odds because numerical models diverge on overnight radiative cooling potential under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies and calm winds could allow temperatures to drop toward or below the 9.7°C climatological average low, boosting the 28.5% probability on 6°C or below, while persistent clouds or mild advection from the Baltic Sea support higher outcomes near 12°C or above. Current guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS runs indicates lows mostly between 6–9°C with limited precipitation expected overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely drive any near-term shifts ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 13?
6°C or below 57%
16°C or higher 57%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
6°C or below
57%
7°C
5%
8°C
17%
9°C
39%
10°C
22%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
22%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
57%
6°C or below 57%
16°C or higher 57%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
6°C or below
57%
7°C
5%
8°C
17%
9°C
39%
10°C
22%
11°C
28%
12°C
31%
13°C
22%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts for Helsinki's September 13 minimum temperature show close market odds because numerical models diverge on overnight radiative cooling potential under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies and calm winds could allow temperatures to drop toward or below the 9.7°C climatological average low, boosting the 28.5% probability on 6°C or below, while persistent clouds or mild advection from the Baltic Sea support higher outcomes near 12°C or above. Current guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS runs indicates lows mostly between 6–9°C with limited precipitation expected overnight, creating genuine uncertainty that keeps probabilities tightly clustered around the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and satellite observations of cloud trends will likely drive any near-term shifts ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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