Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
36%
27°C
51%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$17 KL.
<1%
23°C
$17 KL.
<1%
24°C
$17 KL.
<1%
25°C
$368 KL.
8%
26°C
$388 KL.
36%
27°C
$821 KL.
51%
28°C
$278 KL.
9%
29°C
$17 KL.
<1%
30°C
$17 KL.
<1%
31°C
$17 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$17 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,977Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,977Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a mostly cloudy night on September 6 with light winds and high humidity, limiting radiative cooling and positioning the overnight low near 26–27°C. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, as persistent cloud cover from a broad moisture band over southern China has kept recent minimums in this range despite daytime highs reaching 30–31°C. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows of 25–27°C under similar unsettled conditions, with little model divergence noted in the latest runs. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of these thresholds against minor risks of clearer breaks that could dip readings slightly lower before dawn. Updated overnight observations and any final model adjustments tomorrow morning will determine the precise recorded minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp