Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered thundershowers tied to the active monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 25-26°C for September 5. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department lists a 26°C low with generally cloudy conditions and rain spells, while several global and regional models cluster between 24-26°C depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity. Light easterly winds offer little additional mixing or advection of cooler air. The closely matched market-implied odds around 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow forecast spread and typical model uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes, where even modest changes in cloud timing or localized downpours can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
23°C 86%
21°C or below 85%
22°C 55%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
85%
22°C
55%
23°C
86%
24°C
3%
25°C
43%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 86%
21°C or below 85%
22°C 55%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
85%
22°C
55%
23°C
86%
24°C
3%
25°C
43%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85-90%, and scattered thundershowers tied to the active monsoon are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 25-26°C for September 5. Official guidance from the India Meteorological Department lists a 26°C low with generally cloudy conditions and rain spells, while several global and regional models cluster between 24-26°C depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity. Light easterly winds offer little additional mixing or advection of cooler air. The closely matched market-implied odds around 25°C and 26°C reflect this narrow forecast spread and typical model uncertainty in convective monsoon regimes, where even modest changes in cloud timing or localized downpours can shift the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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