A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver of trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 5 minimum temperature, advecting cooler polar maritime air that is expected to lower overnight readings after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Official model consensus from agencies and meteorological services places the overnight low near 14–15 °C under widespread cloud cover and moderate rainfall, with the precise value hinging on the front’s exact timing, wind shift to southerly directions, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 12–14 °C, but the current setup’s elevated moisture and cloud persistence are limiting further drops, creating the narrow spread among 13–16 °C outcomes visible in the market-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
22°C or higher 97%
15°C 54%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
35%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
54%
16°C
46%
17°C
36%
18°C
27%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
97%
22°C or higher 97%
15°C 54%
13°C 48%
14°C 48%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
12°C or below
$20 KL.
35%
13°C
$0 KL.
48%
14°C
$0 KL.
48%
15°C
$0 KL.
54%
16°C
$0 KL.
46%
17°C
$16 KL.
36%
18°C
$316 KL.
27%
19°C
$12 KL.
2%
20°C
$12 KL.
2%
21°C
$12 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$12 KL.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver of trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 5 minimum temperature, advecting cooler polar maritime air that is expected to lower overnight readings after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Official model consensus from agencies and meteorological services places the overnight low near 14–15 °C under widespread cloud cover and moderate rainfall, with the precise value hinging on the front’s exact timing, wind shift to southerly directions, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 12–14 °C, but the current setup’s elevated moisture and cloud persistence are limiting further drops, creating the narrow spread among 13–16 °C outcomes visible in the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$400Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver of trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 5 minimum temperature, advecting cooler polar maritime air that is expected to lower overnight readings after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Official model consensus from agencies and meteorological services places the overnight low near 14–15 °C under widespread cloud cover and moderate rainfall, with the precise value hinging on the front’s exact timing, wind shift to southerly directions, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 12–14 °C, but the current setup’s elevated moisture and cloud persistence are limiting further drops, creating the narrow spread among 13–16 °C outcomes visible in the market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$400Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing from the south is the dominant driver of trader sentiment for São Paulo’s September 5 minimum temperature, advecting cooler polar maritime air that is expected to lower overnight readings after daytime highs near 22–23 °C. Official model consensus from agencies and meteorological services places the overnight low near 14–15 °C under widespread cloud cover and moderate rainfall, with the precise value hinging on the front’s exact timing, wind shift to southerly directions, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater radiational cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical minima around 12–14 °C, but the current setup’s elevated moisture and cloud persistence are limiting further drops, creating the narrow spread among 13–16 °C outcomes visible in the market-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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