The approaching cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C, with 22°C holding the plurality. Official forecasts from sources including Inmet and regional models show a polar air mass advecting southward, increasing cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation that limit diurnal heating compared to the preceding day's clearer, warmer conditions near 27–28°C. This aligns with typical September climatology for São Paulo, where maxima average near 23°C, but the frontal passage introduces greater uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh consensus model runs projecting highs in the low 20s Celsius against potential variations in rain onset or wind patterns that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 5?
22°C 29%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
24°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
20%
22°C
29%
23°C
21%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 29%
23°C 21%
21°C 20%
24°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
18°C or below
$314 KL.
3%
19°C
$176 KL.
4%
20°C
$399 KL.
7%
21°C
$817 KL.
20%
22°C
$997 KL.
29%
23°C
$726 KL.
21%
24°C
$511 KL.
8%
25°C
$80 KL.
3%
26°C
$162 KL.
2%
27°C
$243 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$824 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C, with 22°C holding the plurality. Official forecasts from sources including Inmet and regional models show a polar air mass advecting southward, increasing cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation that limit diurnal heating compared to the preceding day's clearer, warmer conditions near 27–28°C. This aligns with typical September climatology for São Paulo, where maxima average near 23°C, but the frontal passage introduces greater uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh consensus model runs projecting highs in the low 20s Celsius against potential variations in rain onset or wind patterns that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,249Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C, with 22°C holding the plurality. Official forecasts from sources including Inmet and regional models show a polar air mass advecting southward, increasing cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation that limit diurnal heating compared to the preceding day's clearer, warmer conditions near 27–28°C. This aligns with typical September climatology for São Paulo, where maxima average near 23°C, but the frontal passage introduces greater uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh consensus model runs projecting highs in the low 20s Celsius against potential variations in rain onset or wind patterns that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,249Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The approaching cold front on September 5 is the dominant driver behind market-implied odds clustering around 21–23°C, with 22°C holding the plurality. Official forecasts from sources including Inmet and regional models show a polar air mass advecting southward, increasing cloud cover, humidity, and precipitation that limit diurnal heating compared to the preceding day's clearer, warmer conditions near 27–28°C. This aligns with typical September climatology for São Paulo, where maxima average near 23°C, but the frontal passage introduces greater uncertainty in peak timing and intensity. Traders appear to weigh consensus model runs projecting highs in the low 20s Celsius against potential variations in rain onset or wind patterns that could nudge the daily maximum slightly higher or lower.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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