Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
14°C 10%
17°C 6.8%
MỚI
MỚI
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
33%
16°C
31%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 33%
16°C 33%
14°C 10%
17°C 6.8%
MỚI
MỚI
May 15, 2026
11°C or below
$1,224 KL.
<1%
12°C
$789 KL.
1%
13°C
$537 KL.
3%
14°C
$334 KL.
10%
15°C
$175 KL.
33%
16°C
$104 KL.
31%
17°C
$171 KL.
7%
18°C
$653 KL.
1%
19°C
$459 KL.
<1%
20°C
$658 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$3,528 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,632Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,632Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin contest between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30%) for Seoul's May 15 lowest temperature, reflecting tight clustering in ECMWF and GFS ensemble models alongside Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance projecting overnight minimums near 15°C amid a 1-2°C spread. Clear skies and light winds on May 14 promote radiative cooling after daytime highs near 26-28°C, but southerly maritime air from the Yellow Sea and Seoul's urban heat island effect temper deeper drops, favoring the warmer end of historical mid-May lows (median 14-15°C at Seoul Central Observatory). Recent spring 2026 warming trends reinforce this positioning; KMA short-range updates through evening will sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp