Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to an overnight low in Seoul on May 18 clustered between 13°C and 16°C, driven by typical mid-May spring conditions with clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit boundary-layer mixing, while Seoul’s urban heat island effect adds roughly 1°C of warming relative to rural stations. Historical KMA records show mid-May minima averaging 13–15°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even probabilities across 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs tonight will likely refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
13°C 16%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
26%
14°C
22%
15°C
25%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
1%
14°C 22%
15°C 21%
13°C 16%
16°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
11°C or below
$122 KL.
1%
12°C
$65 KL.
4%
13°C
$23 KL.
26%
14°C
$18 KL.
22%
15°C
$24 KL.
25%
16°C
$15 KL.
9%
17°C
$358 KL.
1%
18°C
$162 KL.
1%
19°C
$112 KL.
1%
20°C
$125 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$152 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to an overnight low in Seoul on May 18 clustered between 13°C and 16°C, driven by typical mid-May spring conditions with clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit boundary-layer mixing, while Seoul’s urban heat island effect adds roughly 1°C of warming relative to rural stations. Historical KMA records show mid-May minima averaging 13–15°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even probabilities across 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs tonight will likely refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,177Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to an overnight low in Seoul on May 18 clustered between 13°C and 16°C, driven by typical mid-May spring conditions with clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit boundary-layer mixing, while Seoul’s urban heat island effect adds roughly 1°C of warming relative to rural stations. Historical KMA records show mid-May minima averaging 13–15°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even probabilities across 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs tonight will likely refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,177Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSICurrent numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles point to an overnight low in Seoul on May 18 clustered between 13°C and 16°C, driven by typical mid-May spring conditions with clear skies enabling strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23°C. Light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to limit boundary-layer mixing, while Seoul’s urban heat island effect adds roughly 1°C of warming relative to rural stations. Historical KMA records show mid-May minima averaging 13–15°C with a standard deviation of about 2°C, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even probabilities across 13°C, 14°C, and 15°C outcomes. Updated short-range model runs tonight will likely refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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