Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
14°C 99.4%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,624 KL.
$40,624 KL.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.4%
13°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$40,624 KL.
$40,624 KL.
May 16, 2026
13°C or below
$2,403 KL.
1%
14°C
$3,930 KL.
99%
15°C
$15,126 KL.
<1%
16°C
$1,401 KL.
<1%
17°C
$2,078 KL.
<1%
18°C
$2,605 KL.
<1%
19°C
$3,915 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,686 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,464 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,090 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$4,928 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$40,624Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$40,624Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration forecasts and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models currently converge on a Seoul nighttime minimum of 14°C for May 16, supported by mostly clear skies and light southerly winds that enable efficient radiative cooling after sunset. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatology at the Seoul Central Observatory, where historical overnight lows typically range from 12°C to 16°C under similar transitional spring conditions. Trader consensus at 99.5% for exactly 14°C reflects the strength of this short-range model agreement and recent drier air mass that has limited urban heat retention. A late forecast shift introducing increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or unexpected moisture could realistically push the observed low into adjacent buckets, though current observational trends show no such divergence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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