Trader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 11%
13°C 7.3%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
5%
13°C
7%
14°C
34%
15°C
28%
16°C
11%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 11%
13°C 7.3%
MỚI
MỚI
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$256 KL.
5%
13°C
$622 KL.
7%
14°C
$58 KL.
34%
15°C
$50 KL.
28%
16°C
$38 KL.
11%
17°C
$116 KL.
3%
18°C
$1,420 KL.
1%
19°C
$1,772 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,768 KL.
<1%
21°C
$848 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$641 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,590Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,590Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSITrader consensus favoring a 14–15°C low for Seoul on May 17 arises from ensemble guidance showing limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a weak southerly flow. Recent high-pressure ridging has promoted clear conditions that enhance heat loss, yet marginal warm-air advection from the Yellow Sea and elevated dew points are preventing deeper drops below 14°C. Korea Meteorological Administration model runs indicate the 2-meter temperature minimum will hinge on the exact timing of increasing cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical May climatology placing the average low near 13°C. Updated forecasts tonight could shift odds if wind speeds increase or if a drier air mass arrives earlier than projected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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