Forecast models for Shanghai on July 23 project overnight lows clustered around 26–29°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and residual summer monsoon moisture, with thundershowers expected to limit clear-sky radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Historical July climatology places average lows near 26–28°C, while current conditions show high humidity and urban heat-island effects that reduce overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 27–29°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and surface heat retention by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 23?
27°C 36%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
26°C 4.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
36%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
26°C 4.5%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
36%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shanghai on July 23 project overnight lows clustered around 26–29°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure and residual summer monsoon moisture, with thundershowers expected to limit clear-sky radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Historical July climatology places average lows near 26–28°C, while current conditions show high humidity and urban heat-island effects that reduce overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 27–29°C reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, which can alter boundary-layer mixing and surface heat retention by several degrees. New model runs and official updates from regional meteorological agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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