Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
28°C 42%
29°C 39%
27°C 17%
26°C 5.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
17%
28°C
42%
29°C
39%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 42%
29°C 39%
27°C 17%
26°C 5.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
$37 KL.
<1%
23°C
$37 KL.
<1%
24°C
$18 KL.
2%
25°C
$5 KL.
4%
26°C
$25 KL.
5%
27°C
$53 KL.
17%
28°C
$45 KL.
42%
29°C
$29 KL.
39%
30°C
$5 KL.
4%
31°C
$32 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$32 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$317Ngày kết thúc
Jul 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$317Ngày kết thúc
Jul 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Tokyo on July 23, driven by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling typical of post-rainy season conditions. These factors create tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes in trader consensus, as urban heat island effects and potential sea breezes moderate overnight lows while afternoon showers could suppress daytime peaks and alter the daily minimum. Model spreads remain modest given the short forecast horizon, with historical July averages showing daily lows of 23–24°C providing baseline context amid current elevated readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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