North Carolina’s 12th congressional district delivered a decisive Democratic victory on November 3, 2026, with incumbent Alma Adams securing roughly 81% of the vote against Republican challenger Jack Codiga. This outcome aligns with the district’s long-standing partisan composition, reflected in prior presidential and House margins exceeding 45 points, and trader consensus has concentrated probability on the 60-65% Democratic margin bucket. The broader Democratic gains across North Carolina’s congressional map reinforced expectations for strong performance in this safe seat, while low probabilities on narrower or Republican-leaning ranges reflect the absence of competitive dynamics or late shifts. Official certification remains pending, but current vote totals leave little room for material change within the resolution window.