**Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driving the market’s heavy Democratic consensus.** Vasquez, seeking a third term after narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who consolidated the GOP nomination following Jose Orozco’s withdrawal and primary results in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million, and the district’s recent House results despite its R+2 lean and Trump’s narrow 2024 win there. An April internal Republican poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public data and stable ratings have reinforced trader views of limited momentum for the challenger in this competitive southern New Mexico seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$32,165 KL.
$32,165 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$32,165 KL.
$32,165 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,204 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$18,961 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driving the market’s heavy Democratic consensus.** Vasquez, seeking a third term after narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who consolidated the GOP nomination following Jose Orozco’s withdrawal and primary results in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million, and the district’s recent House results despite its R+2 lean and Trump’s narrow 2024 win there. An April internal Republican poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public data and stable ratings have reinforced trader views of limited momentum for the challenger in this competitive southern New Mexico seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,165Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driving the market’s heavy Democratic consensus.** Vasquez, seeking a third term after narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who consolidated the GOP nomination following Jose Orozco’s withdrawal and primary results in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million, and the district’s recent House results despite its R+2 lean and Trump’s narrow 2024 win there. An April internal Republican poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public data and stable ratings have reinforced trader views of limited momentum for the challenger in this competitive southern New Mexico seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,165Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driving the market’s heavy Democratic consensus.** Vasquez, seeking a third term after narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces Republican Greg Cunningham, who consolidated the GOP nomination following Jose Orozco’s withdrawal and primary results in June. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s incumbency, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.8 million, and the district’s recent House results despite its R+2 lean and Trump’s narrow 2024 win there. An April internal Republican poll showed a statistical tie, but limited subsequent public data and stable ratings have reinforced trader views of limited momentum for the challenger in this competitive southern New Mexico seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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