Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican primary frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8–12 points—Echelon Insights (April 3–9: Sand 51%, Feenstra 39%) and GBAO (March: Sand 50%, Feenstra 42%)—despite Iowa's Republican lean. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has created the first competitive open contest since 2006, fueling a crowded GOP primary with 32% undecided voters per April Victory Enterprises polling. Cook Political Report's April shift to toss-up underscores the race's volatility ahead of June 2 primaries, where GOP infighting could weaken the nominee against Sand's cross-party appeal as state auditor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Governor Election Winner
Iowa Governor Election Winner
$36,067 KL.
$36,067 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
65%
Republican
30%
$36,067 KL.
$36,067 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,168 KL.
65%
Republican
$19,899 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican primary frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8–12 points—Echelon Insights (April 3–9: Sand 51%, Feenstra 39%) and GBAO (March: Sand 50%, Feenstra 42%)—despite Iowa's Republican lean. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has created the first competitive open contest since 2006, fueling a crowded GOP primary with 32% undecided voters per April Victory Enterprises polling. Cook Political Report's April shift to toss-up underscores the race's volatility ahead of June 2 primaries, where GOP infighting could weaken the nominee against Sand's cross-party appeal as state auditor.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$36,067Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican primary frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8–12 points—Echelon Insights (April 3–9: Sand 51%, Feenstra 39%) and GBAO (March: Sand 50%, Feenstra 42%)—despite Iowa's Republican lean. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has created the first competitive open contest since 2006, fueling a crowded GOP primary with 32% undecided voters per April Victory Enterprises polling. Cook Political Report's April shift to toss-up underscores the race's volatility ahead of June 2 primaries, where GOP infighting could weaken the nominee against Sand's cross-party appeal as state auditor.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$36,067Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Rob Sand at 66% implied probability to win Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, driven by recent polls showing him leading presumed Republican primary frontrunner U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra by 8–12 points—Echelon Insights (April 3–9: Sand 51%, Feenstra 39%) and GBAO (March: Sand 50%, Feenstra 42%)—despite Iowa's Republican lean. Incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has created the first competitive open contest since 2006, fueling a crowded GOP primary with 32% undecided voters per April Victory Enterprises polling. Cook Political Report's April shift to toss-up underscores the race's volatility ahead of June 2 primaries, where GOP infighting could weaken the nominee against Sand's cross-party appeal as state auditor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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