Incumbent Barbara Lee holds an 87.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election due to her recent victory in the 2025 special election, extensive prior service in Congress, and formal launch of her re-election campaign in June 2026. She has secured early endorsements from state and federal officials while focusing on budget stabilization, public safety, and city services. Lesser-known challengers, including Brenda Grisham at 7%, face structural barriers in a nonpartisan race with ranked-choice voting elements, where name recognition and fundraising typically favor the sitting mayor. No major late-filing contenders have shifted trader consensus in the months leading to the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOakland Mayoral Election
Oakland Mayoral Election
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Barbara Lee
88%
Brenda Grisham
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Barbara Lee
$1,148 KL.
88%
Brenda Grisham
$126 KL.
7%
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Incumbent Barbara Lee holds an 87.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election due to her recent victory in the 2025 special election, extensive prior service in Congress, and formal launch of her re-election campaign in June 2026. She has secured early endorsements from state and federal officials while focusing on budget stabilization, public safety, and city services. Lesser-known challengers, including Brenda Grisham at 7%, face structural barriers in a nonpartisan race with ranked-choice voting elements, where name recognition and fundraising typically favor the sitting mayor. No major late-filing contenders have shifted trader consensus in the months leading to the general election.
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Thị trường mở: Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,274Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.Incumbent Barbara Lee holds an 87.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election due to her recent victory in the 2025 special election, extensive prior service in Congress, and formal launch of her re-election campaign in June 2026. She has secured early endorsements from state and federal officials while focusing on budget stabilization, public safety, and city services. Lesser-known challengers, including Brenda Grisham at 7%, face structural barriers in a nonpartisan race with ranked-choice voting elements, where name recognition and fundraising typically favor the sitting mayor. No major late-filing contenders have shifted trader consensus in the months leading to the general election.
The 2026 Oakland mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oakland, California.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Oakland.
Khối lượng
$1,274Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 27, 2026, 9:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Barbara Lee holds an 87.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, Oakland mayoral general election due to her recent victory in the 2025 special election, extensive prior service in Congress, and formal launch of her re-election campaign in June 2026. She has secured early endorsements from state and federal officials while focusing on budget stabilization, public safety, and city services. Lesser-known challengers, including Brenda Grisham at 7%, face structural barriers in a nonpartisan race with ranked-choice voting elements, where name recognition and fundraising typically favor the sitting mayor. No major late-filing contenders have shifted trader consensus in the months leading to the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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