Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
4%
October 31
14%
December 31
25%
$1,131 KL.
September 30
$674 KL.
4%
October 31
$20 KL.
14%
December 31
$437 KL.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,131Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen.
“No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,131Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 11:33 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Houthis seized Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 11, 2026, following a rapid coastal offensive that captured the port of Mocha the prior day and prompted pro-government forces to withdraw from the island and nearby Dhubab. The move completes Houthi control over Yemen’s western Red Sea coastline and the strait’s key chokepoint, which divides shipping channels and has grown more critical amid the US-Iran conflict and Saudi redirection of oil exports away from the Strait of Hormuz. Yemeni government sources indicate plans for a counteroffensive using aircraft and ground forces to retake lost territory, though analysts note the island’s defense challenges against amphibious operations and limited immediate external military support. Any reversal of Houthi control would likely require coordinated Saudi-backed advances or broader international naval involvement within the market’s resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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