Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and pent-up fan demand, has positioned the second-weekend total for a steep decline. Early tracking and short legs around 1.13 indicate front-loaded attendance typical of event films, with the bulk of ticket sales already captured in the debut frame. This dynamic explains why the sub-$180 million bracket commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability. Modest competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and the film’s rapid global pace further support expectations of a sharp drop-off rather than sustained momentum into the August 7–9 frame.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 78%
210-220m 7%
220m+ 7%
180-190m 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
78%
180-190m
7%
190-200m
7%
200-210m
5%
210-220m
7%
220m+
7%
<180m 78%
210-220m 7%
220m+ 7%
180-190m 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
<180m
$4,785 KL.
78%
180-190m
$686 KL.
7%
190-200m
$692 KL.
7%
200-210m
$739 KL.
5%
210-220m
$919 KL.
7%
220m+
$2,281 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and pent-up fan demand, has positioned the second-weekend total for a steep decline. Early tracking and short legs around 1.13 indicate front-loaded attendance typical of event films, with the bulk of ticket sales already captured in the debut frame. This dynamic explains why the sub-$180 million bracket commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability. Modest competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and the film’s rapid global pace further support expectations of a sharp drop-off rather than sustained momentum into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,989Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and pent-up fan demand, has positioned the second-weekend total for a steep decline. Early tracking and short legs around 1.13 indicate front-loaded attendance typical of event films, with the bulk of ticket sales already captured in the debut frame. This dynamic explains why the sub-$180 million bracket commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability. Modest competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and the film’s rapid global pace further support expectations of a sharp drop-off rather than sustained momentum into the August 7–9 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$9,989Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend, fueled by Tom Holland’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and pent-up fan demand, has positioned the second-weekend total for a steep decline. Early tracking and short legs around 1.13 indicate front-loaded attendance typical of event films, with the bulk of ticket sales already captured in the debut frame. This dynamic explains why the sub-$180 million bracket commands overwhelming trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability. Modest competition from holdovers like The Odyssey and the film’s rapid global pace further support expectations of a sharp drop-off rather than sustained momentum into the August 7–9 frame.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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