Recent University of Houston polling shows Ken Paxton holding a narrow 48-45 percent lead over incumbent John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, a margin inside the survey’s error range with just 7 percent undecided nine days before the May 26 contest. Both campaigns have focused spending on attack advertising that has failed to move the mostly locked-in electorate formed after the March primary, while the absence of a Trump endorsement or major new endorsements from state leaders has left voter coalitions stable. This dynamic sustains trader expectations for a single-digit margin, with potential separation hinging on final-week turnout among early supporters, any late campaign events, or shifts in the small pool of remaining undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.9%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,276 KL.
$59,276 KL.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
5%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.9%
Paxton 9%+ 16.2%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,276 KL.
$59,276 KL.
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,915 KL.
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 KL.
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 KL.
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 KL.
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 KL.
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 KL.
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 KL.
5%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,076 KL.
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling shows Ken Paxton holding a narrow 48-45 percent lead over incumbent John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, a margin inside the survey’s error range with just 7 percent undecided nine days before the May 26 contest. Both campaigns have focused spending on attack advertising that has failed to move the mostly locked-in electorate formed after the March primary, while the absence of a Trump endorsement or major new endorsements from state leaders has left voter coalitions stable. This dynamic sustains trader expectations for a single-digit margin, with potential separation hinging on final-week turnout among early supporters, any late campaign events, or shifts in the small pool of remaining undecided voters.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,276Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent University of Houston polling shows Ken Paxton holding a narrow 48-45 percent lead over incumbent John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, a margin inside the survey’s error range with just 7 percent undecided nine days before the May 26 contest. Both campaigns have focused spending on attack advertising that has failed to move the mostly locked-in electorate formed after the March primary, while the absence of a Trump endorsement or major new endorsements from state leaders has left voter coalitions stable. This dynamic sustains trader expectations for a single-digit margin, with potential separation hinging on final-week turnout among early supporters, any late campaign events, or shifts in the small pool of remaining undecided voters.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$59,276Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent University of Houston polling shows Ken Paxton holding a narrow 48-45 percent lead over incumbent John Cornyn among likely Republican runoff voters, a margin inside the survey’s error range with just 7 percent undecided nine days before the May 26 contest. Both campaigns have focused spending on attack advertising that has failed to move the mostly locked-in electorate formed after the March primary, while the absence of a Trump endorsement or major new endorsements from state leaders has left voter coalitions stable. This dynamic sustains trader expectations for a single-digit margin, with potential separation hinging on final-week turnout among early supporters, any late campaign events, or shifts in the small pool of remaining undecided voters.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp