Redistricting last year consolidated Houston-area districts into the new TX-18, forcing a direct contest between sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee holding a seven-point lead among likely runoff voters, reflecting stronger name recognition from his recent special election victory and broader support in the merged district. The May 26 runoff remains the decisive event, with early voting already underway and limited additional debates scheduled. Other primary candidates have negligible support in current pricing. Traders' heavy weighting toward Menefee aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of the consolidated electorate, though final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-18 Democratic Primary Winner
TX-18 Democratic Primary Winner
Christian Menefee 89.1%
Al Green 10.7%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 KL.
$27,959 KL.
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
11%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.1%
Al Green 10.7%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 KL.
$27,959 KL.
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
11%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last year consolidated Houston-area districts into the new TX-18, forcing a direct contest between sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee holding a seven-point lead among likely runoff voters, reflecting stronger name recognition from his recent special election victory and broader support in the merged district. The May 26 runoff remains the decisive event, with early voting already underway and limited additional debates scheduled. Other primary candidates have negligible support in current pricing. Traders' heavy weighting toward Menefee aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of the consolidated electorate, though final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp