The U.S. decision at the July 1, 2026, USMCA Free Trade Commission joint review not to confirm extension for another 16-year term has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 extension. USTR Ambassador Jamieson Greer stated the United States would not renew the agreement in its current form, triggering annual reviews under Article 34.7 that continue until 2036 or an extension is reached. Mexico and Canada supported renewal, but bilateral talks with Mexico have advanced while Canada has not yet engaged substantively. The agreement remains fully in force pending further negotiations or withdrawal, yet the absence of trilateral confirmation for immediate extension has aligned market pricing with this procedural outcome and ongoing U.S. priorities on rules of origin, automotive content, and related trade issues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật21% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
21% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. decision at the July 1, 2026, USMCA Free Trade Commission joint review not to confirm extension for another 16-year term has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 extension. USTR Ambassador Jamieson Greer stated the United States would not renew the agreement in its current form, triggering annual reviews under Article 34.7 that continue until 2036 or an extension is reached. Mexico and Canada supported renewal, but bilateral talks with Mexico have advanced while Canada has not yet engaged substantively. The agreement remains fully in force pending further negotiations or withdrawal, yet the absence of trilateral confirmation for immediate extension has aligned market pricing with this procedural outcome and ongoing U.S. priorities on rules of origin, automotive content, and related trade issues.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,924Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. decision at the July 1, 2026, USMCA Free Trade Commission joint review not to confirm extension for another 16-year term has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 extension. USTR Ambassador Jamieson Greer stated the United States would not renew the agreement in its current form, triggering annual reviews under Article 34.7 that continue until 2036 or an extension is reached. Mexico and Canada supported renewal, but bilateral talks with Mexico have advanced while Canada has not yet engaged substantively. The agreement remains fully in force pending further negotiations or withdrawal, yet the absence of trilateral confirmation for immediate extension has aligned market pricing with this procedural outcome and ongoing U.S. priorities on rules of origin, automotive content, and related trade issues.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement.
The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement.
The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$9,924Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. decision at the July 1, 2026, USMCA Free Trade Commission joint review not to confirm extension for another 16-year term has anchored trader consensus against a 2026 extension. USTR Ambassador Jamieson Greer stated the United States would not renew the agreement in its current form, triggering annual reviews under Article 34.7 that continue until 2036 or an extension is reached. Mexico and Canada supported renewal, but bilateral talks with Mexico have advanced while Canada has not yet engaged substantively. The agreement remains fully in force pending further negotiations or withdrawal, yet the absence of trilateral confirmation for immediate extension has aligned market pricing with this procedural outcome and ongoing U.S. priorities on rules of origin, automotive content, and related trade issues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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