Imelda Castro Castro's designation in late August 2026 as Morena's state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation positions her as the party's presumptive nominee for Sinaloa governor in the June 2027 election. This followed the resignation of Rubén Rocha Moya amid U.S. charges and subsequent interim leadership changes, prompting national party leadership to consolidate behind Castro, a former senator with roots outside the prior governor's inner circle. Traders assign her an 84.5% implied probability based on Morena's dominance in recent state contests and the absence of competitive internal challengers advancing past the coordination stage. Lower-priced alternatives, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and other registered aspirants, reflect limited momentum outside narrow factional support. Opposition candidates from PRI and other parties remain further back pending formal nominations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtImelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.3%
Omar López Campos 3.8%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%
$31,089 KL.
$31,089 KL.
Imelda Castro Castro
85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%
Omar López Campos
4%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%
Sergio Torres Félix
3%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
Imelda Castro Castro 85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.3%
Omar López Campos 3.8%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%
$31,089 KL.
$31,089 KL.
Imelda Castro Castro
85%
María Teresa Guerra Ochoa
4%
Omar López Campos
4%
Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil
3%
Tomás de Jesús López Bajo
3%
Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros
3%
Sergio Torres Félix
3%
Lucila Ayala de Moreschi
2%
Graciela Domínguez Nava
2%
Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos
2%
Ricardo Madrid Pérez
2%
Guillermo Romero Rodríguez
2%
Roxana Rubio Valdez
2%
Paloma Sánchez Ramos
2%
Mario Zamora Gastélum
1%
Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez
1%
Eduardo Ortiz Hernández
1%
Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García
1%
Jesús Fernando García Hernández
1%
Estrella Palacios Domínguez
<1%
María Fernanda Rivera
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Thị trường mở: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Imelda Castro Castro's designation in late August 2026 as Morena's state coordinator for the defense of the Fourth Transformation positions her as the party's presumptive nominee for Sinaloa governor in the June 2027 election. This followed the resignation of Rubén Rocha Moya amid U.S. charges and subsequent interim leadership changes, prompting national party leadership to consolidate behind Castro, a former senator with roots outside the prior governor's inner circle. Traders assign her an 84.5% implied probability based on Morena's dominance in recent state contests and the absence of competitive internal challengers advancing past the coordination stage. Lower-priced alternatives, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and other registered aspirants, reflect limited momentum outside narrow factional support. Opposition candidates from PRI and other parties remain further back pending formal nominations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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