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icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

icon for Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

14% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
14% khả năng
Polymarket
MỚI
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted by the Democratic-controlled Legislature and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson in March 2026. The measure, set to generate roughly $3 billion annually starting in 2029 for K-12 education, the Working Families Tax Credit, small-business B&O relief, and other services, affects fewer than 1% of residents. Democratic officials and labor groups launched a coordinated “No on I-645” campaign highlighting these benefits, while opponents argue it risks broader income taxation. Trader pricing at 86% against repeal aligns with prior polling showing majority support for retaining narrowly targeted revenue measures paired with popular tax reductions.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Khối lượng
$166
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Washington voters face Initiative 645 on the November 3, 2026 ballot, which would repeal the 9.9% tax on household income above $1 million enacted by the Democratic-controlled Legislature and signed by Governor Bob Ferguson in March 2026. The measure, set to generate roughly $3 billion annually starting in 2029 for K-12 education, the Working Families Tax Credit, small-business B&O relief, and other services, affects fewer than 1% of residents. Democratic officials and labor groups launched a coordinated “No on I-645” campaign highlighting these benefits, while opponents argue it risks broader income taxation. Trader pricing at 86% against repeal aligns with prior polling showing majority support for retaining narrowly targeted revenue measures paired with popular tax reductions.

Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Initiative Measure No. 645 (I-645, filed as IP26-645) is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would repeal the state's tax on households earning over $1 million a year and prohibit future state and local taxes on income, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Khối lượng
$166
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:18 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections

Người giải quyết

0x65070BE91...

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"Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 14% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 14¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 14% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Sep 17, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" là 14% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 14% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.