OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise share exceeding 40 percent, and investor appetite for AI exposure support higher valuations, yet persistent operating losses and an unproven path to profitability temper expectations. Recent secondary tender offers at the latest private mark and reports of a possible 2027 debut rather than late-2026 timing introduce timing and dilution uncertainty. These factors create a closely contested distribution, as traders balance hypergrowth multiples against regulatory restructuring needs and competitive pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.25T–$1.5T 19.7%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$58,854 KL.
$58,854 KL.
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
20%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.25T–$1.5T 19.7%
$1.5T–$1.75T 15.3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$58,854 KL.
$58,854 KL.
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
20%
$1.5T–$1.75T
15%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential SEC filing and March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion anchor trader sentiment for its eventual IPO, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the $1.25T–$2.0T ranges. Rapid revenue expansion to roughly $2 billion monthly, enterprise share exceeding 40 percent, and investor appetite for AI exposure support higher valuations, yet persistent operating losses and an unproven path to profitability temper expectations. Recent secondary tender offers at the latest private mark and reports of a possible 2027 debut rather than late-2026 timing introduce timing and dilution uncertainty. These factors create a closely contested distribution, as traders balance hypergrowth multiples against regulatory restructuring needs and competitive pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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