Traders see no dominant leader in the AI agent race through September, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 33% and 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and others. This reflects intense competition among large language model developers racing to deliver agents with superior planning, tool use, and multi-step reasoning. Recent model releases have narrowed capability gaps, while factors like developer ecosystems, integration with enterprise tools, and benchmark performance on agent tasks continue to shift sentiment. The fragmented field leaves room for breakthroughs or setbacks that could quickly reorder the leaderboard before the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNvidia 37%
Anthropic 36%
OpenAI 35%
MiniMax 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
Nvidia
37%
Anthropic
36%
OpenAI
35%
MiniMax
34%
Z.ai
34%
Alibaba
34%
Meta
33%
DeepSeek
33%
32%
Moonshot
32%
Xiaomi
31%
Amazon
31%
ByteDance
31%
Baidu
31%
Mistral
31%
Meituan
31%
Microsoft
31%
SpaceXAI
30%
Nvidia 37%
Anthropic 36%
OpenAI 35%
MiniMax 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
Nvidia
$24 KL.
37%
Anthropic
$24 KL.
36%
OpenAI
$24 KL.
35%
MiniMax
$24 KL.
34%
Z.ai
$24 KL.
34%
Alibaba
$24 KL.
34%
Meta
$24 KL.
33%
DeepSeek
$24 KL.
33%
$24 KL.
32%
Moonshot
$24 KL.
32%
Xiaomi
$24 KL.
31%
Amazon
$24 KL.
31%
ByteDance
$24 KL.
31%
Baidu
$24 KL.
31%
Mistral
$24 KL.
31%
Meituan
$24 KL.
31%
Microsoft
$24 KL.
31%
SpaceXAI
$24 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see no dominant leader in the AI agent race through September, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 33% and 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and others. This reflects intense competition among large language model developers racing to deliver agents with superior planning, tool use, and multi-step reasoning. Recent model releases have narrowed capability gaps, while factors like developer ecosystems, integration with enterprise tools, and benchmark performance on agent tasks continue to shift sentiment. The fragmented field leaves room for breakthroughs or setbacks that could quickly reorder the leaderboard before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$438Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see no dominant leader in the AI agent race through September, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 33% and 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and others. This reflects intense competition among large language model developers racing to deliver agents with superior planning, tool use, and multi-step reasoning. Recent model releases have narrowed capability gaps, while factors like developer ecosystems, integration with enterprise tools, and benchmark performance on agent tasks continue to shift sentiment. The fragmented field leaves room for breakthroughs or setbacks that could quickly reorder the leaderboard before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Khối lượng
$438Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see no dominant leader in the AI agent race through September, with market-implied odds clustered tightly between 33% and 50% across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and others. This reflects intense competition among large language model developers racing to deliver agents with superior planning, tool use, and multi-step reasoning. Recent model releases have narrowed capability gaps, while factors like developer ecosystems, integration with enterprise tools, and benchmark performance on agent tasks continue to shift sentiment. The fragmented field leaves room for breakthroughs or setbacks that could quickly reorder the leaderboard before the resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp