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icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Công Nghệ·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

icon for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Công Nghệ·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Oct 1

Nov 1

Dec 1

Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic 98.7%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,703,896 KL.

Anthropic 98.7%

Google <1%

OpenAI <1%

Meta <1%

Polymarket

$3,703,896 KL.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$826,491 KL.

99%

icon for Google

Google

$332,092 KL.

1%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$695,212 KL.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$415,236 KL.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$179,449 KL.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$83,811 KL.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$65,015 KL.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$139,721 KL.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$34,848 KL.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$348,820 KL.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$182,177 KL.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$28,749 KL.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$88,965 KL.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$39,539 KL.

<1%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$15,148 KL.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$34,406 KL.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$36,341 KL.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$19,597 KL.

<1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$71,085 KL.

<1%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$22,501 KL.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$44,694 KL.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 98.7% market-implied probability by posting the highest scores across leading benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5 (84.6) and Vals Index, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra in coding, agentic workflows, and knowledge-work tasks. Traders appear to view the model’s verified gains in SWE-bench Pro, Terminal-Bench, and multi-step reasoning as decisive through month-end, especially given Anthropic’s consistent frontier positioning since Opus 5 shipped in July. A credible challenge would require another lab to ship and independently validate a clearly superior large language model within the remaining days, an outcome that historical release timelines and current benchmark gaps make improbable.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$3,703,896
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, released September 1, anchors the 98.7% market-implied probability by posting the highest scores across leading benchmarks such as BenchAlign v5 (84.6) and Vals Index, outperforming OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra in coding, agentic workflows, and knowledge-work tasks. Traders appear to view the model’s verified gains in SWE-bench Pro, Terminal-Bench, and multi-step reasoning as decisive through month-end, especially given Anthropic’s consistent frontier positioning since Opus 5 shipped in July. A credible challenge would require another lab to ship and independently validate a clearly superior large language model within the remaining days, an outcome that historical release timelines and current benchmark gaps make improbable.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$3,703,896
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Người giải quyết

0x69c47De9D...

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Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Which company has the best AI model end of September?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 21 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Anthropic" ở mức 99%, tiếp theo là "Google" ở mức 1%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 99¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" đã tạo $3.7 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jul 20, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Which company has the best AI model end of September?," duyệt 21 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" là "Anthropic" ở mức 99%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 99% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Google" ở mức 1%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Which company has the best AI model end of September?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.