Trader sentiment on the #3 AI lab by end of November under LMArena style control remains highly fragmented, with multiple labs clustered near even odds reflecting intense competition across US and Chinese developers. Recent model iterations from labs like Google, Meta, and several Chinese teams have produced incremental gains in arena scores when style control filters response length and formatting biases, keeping the third-place ranking fluid. Key swing factors include upcoming releases or benchmark updates that could shift relative positioning before the November 30 cutoff. The market’s even distribution underscores how small capability edges in reasoning, coding, or multimodal tasks now determine leaderboard order among closely matched large language models.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMeta 20%
Google 19%
SpaceXAI 18.1%
Meituan 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
20%
19%
SpaceXAI
18%
Meituan
17%
Thinky
13%
Baidu
10%
Tencent
9%
Anthropic
9%
Microsoft
9%
Moonshot
7%
OpenAI
7%
StepFun
7%
Alibaba
7%
Amazon
7%
Xiaomi
6%
Z.ai
5%
ByteDance
5%
DeepSeek
5%
Mistral
4%
MiniMax
13%
Nvidia
11%
Meta 20%
Google 19%
SpaceXAI 18.1%
Meituan 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$142 KL.
20%
$184 KL.
19%
SpaceXAI
$105 KL.
18%
Meituan
$136 KL.
17%
Thinky
$116 KL.
13%
Baidu
$116 KL.
10%
Tencent
$226 KL.
9%
Anthropic
$116 KL.
9%
Microsoft
$116 KL.
9%
Moonshot
$116 KL.
7%
OpenAI
$156 KL.
7%
StepFun
$116 KL.
7%
Alibaba
$139 KL.
7%
Amazon
$116 KL.
7%
Xiaomi
$129 KL.
6%
Z.ai
$116 KL.
5%
ByteDance
$116 KL.
5%
DeepSeek
$116 KL.
5%
Mistral
$116 KL.
4%
MiniMax
$116 KL.
13%
Nvidia
$116 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment on the #3 AI lab by end of November under LMArena style control remains highly fragmented, with multiple labs clustered near even odds reflecting intense competition across US and Chinese developers. Recent model iterations from labs like Google, Meta, and several Chinese teams have produced incremental gains in arena scores when style control filters response length and formatting biases, keeping the third-place ranking fluid. Key swing factors include upcoming releases or benchmark updates that could shift relative positioning before the November 30 cutoff. The market’s even distribution underscores how small capability edges in reasoning, coding, or multimodal tasks now determine leaderboard order among closely matched large language models.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,728Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment on the #3 AI lab by end of November under LMArena style control remains highly fragmented, with multiple labs clustered near even odds reflecting intense competition across US and Chinese developers. Recent model iterations from labs like Google, Meta, and several Chinese teams have produced incremental gains in arena scores when style control filters response length and formatting biases, keeping the third-place ranking fluid. Key swing factors include upcoming releases or benchmark updates that could shift relative positioning before the November 30 cutoff. The market’s even distribution underscores how small capability edges in reasoning, coding, or multimodal tasks now determine leaderboard order among closely matched large language models.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$2,728Ngày kết thúc
Dec 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the #3 AI lab by end of November under LMArena style control remains highly fragmented, with multiple labs clustered near even odds reflecting intense competition across US and Chinese developers. Recent model iterations from labs like Google, Meta, and several Chinese teams have produced incremental gains in arena scores when style control filters response length and formatting biases, keeping the third-place ranking fluid. Key swing factors include upcoming releases or benchmark updates that could shift relative positioning before the November 30 cutoff. The market’s even distribution underscores how small capability edges in reasoning, coding, or multimodal tasks now determine leaderboard order among closely matched large language models.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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