Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$145,664 KL.
Sep 17, 2026
September 17
1%
September 20
8%
September 24
62%
September 27
75%
September 30
81%
October 31
98%
December 31
98%
$145,664 KL.
September 17
$9,059 KL.
1%
September 20
$4,382 KL.
8%
September 24
$3,712 KL.
62%
September 27
$2,865 KL.
75%
September 30
$65,483 KL.
81%
October 31
$13,502 KL.
98%
December 31
$5,146 KL.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$145,664Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$145,664Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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