Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development in recent days, agreeing with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September 12 essay and committing OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators with deep model access. However, he has not signed the original July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta endorsed to urge U.S.-backed international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates beyond oversight. Altman historically has avoided similar pause-style letters, and with the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no indication of a last-minute signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 84.5% implied probability. Upcoming catalysts remain limited to any surprise public statement or internal OpenAI announcement before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật16% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
16% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development in recent days, agreeing with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September 12 essay and committing OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators with deep model access. However, he has not signed the original July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta endorsed to urge U.S.-backed international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates beyond oversight. Altman historically has avoided similar pause-style letters, and with the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no indication of a last-minute signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 84.5% implied probability. Upcoming catalysts remain limited to any surprise public statement or internal OpenAI announcement before month-end.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,920Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development in recent days, agreeing with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September 12 essay and committing OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators with deep model access. However, he has not signed the original July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta endorsed to urge U.S.-backed international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates beyond oversight. Altman historically has avoided similar pause-style letters, and with the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no indication of a last-minute signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 84.5% implied probability. Upcoming catalysts remain limited to any surprise public statement or internal OpenAI announcement before month-end.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Sam Altman by name together with his role at OpenAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of OpenAI. Once Sam Altman is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Sam Altman or OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,920Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Sam Altman has publicly endorsed the broader concept of pacing frontier AI development in recent days, agreeing with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s September 12 essay and committing OpenAI to independent embedded evaluators with deep model access. However, he has not signed the original July 2026 “Pacing the Frontier” employee statement, which over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta endorsed to urge U.S.-backed international tools for coordinated slowdowns if automated research accelerates beyond oversight. Altman historically has avoided similar pause-style letters, and with the September 30 deadline just weeks away and no indication of a last-minute signature, trader consensus heavily favors “No” at 84.5% implied probability. Upcoming catalysts remain limited to any surprise public statement or internal OpenAI announcement before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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