**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% because Elon Musk has offered only verbal endorsement of the broader "pace the frontier" concept without taking the formal step of signing the July 2026 employee statement.** On September 12, Dario Amodei’s essay prompted Musk’s brief reply of “Dario is right,” alongside Sam Altman’s commitment to embedded evaluators at OpenAI. Yet Musk has not joined the 1,386+ signatories from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, nor committed xAI to the statement’s requested international coordination tools or unilateral safety measures. xAI’s competitive positioning and Musk’s history of prioritizing rapid capability gains over coordinated slowdowns create significant barriers. With the September 30 deadline just two weeks away and no further announcements, traders see little realistic path to a signature.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật10% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
10% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% because Elon Musk has offered only verbal endorsement of the broader "pace the frontier" concept without taking the formal step of signing the July 2026 employee statement.**
On September 12, Dario Amodei’s essay prompted Musk’s brief reply of “Dario is right,” alongside Sam Altman’s commitment to embedded evaluators at OpenAI. Yet Musk has not joined the 1,386+ signatories from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, nor committed xAI to the statement’s requested international coordination tools or unilateral safety measures. xAI’s competitive positioning and Musk’s history of prioritizing rapid capability gains over coordinated slowdowns create significant barriers. With the September 30 deadline just two weeks away and no further announcements, traders see little realistic path to a signature.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,565Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% because Elon Musk has offered only verbal endorsement of the broader "pace the frontier" concept without taking the formal step of signing the July 2026 employee statement.**
On September 12, Dario Amodei’s essay prompted Musk’s brief reply of “Dario is right,” alongside Sam Altman’s commitment to embedded evaluators at OpenAI. Yet Musk has not joined the 1,386+ signatories from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, nor committed xAI to the statement’s requested international coordination tools or unilateral safety measures. xAI’s competitive positioning and Musk’s history of prioritizing rapid capability gains over coordinated slowdowns create significant barriers. With the September 30 deadline just two weeks away and no further announcements, traders see little realistic path to a signature.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$4,565Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90% because Elon Musk has offered only verbal endorsement of the broader "pace the frontier" concept without taking the formal step of signing the July 2026 employee statement.** On September 12, Dario Amodei’s essay prompted Musk’s brief reply of “Dario is right,” alongside Sam Altman’s commitment to embedded evaluators at OpenAI. Yet Musk has not joined the 1,386+ signatories from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta, nor committed xAI to the statement’s requested international coordination tools or unilateral safety measures. xAI’s competitive positioning and Musk’s history of prioritizing rapid capability gains over coordinated slowdowns create significant barriers. With the September 30 deadline just two weeks away and no further announcements, traders see little realistic path to a signature.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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