Anthropic’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability reflects its Claude models—led by claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5 variants—occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with scores above 1530, well ahead of Google’s Gemini entries near 1525. Recent releases have delivered clear gains in chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-level problems, ArXivMath, FrontierMath tiers, and even formal theorem proving, backed by hundreds of thousands of blind preference votes. With resolution only days away on September 30, the stable lead leaves little room for reversal. A surprise high-impact release or major benchmark shift from OpenAI or Google in the final week remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 94%
OpenAI 3.0%
Google 1.6%
Z.ai <1%
$68,955 KL.
$68,955 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
94%
OpenAI
3%
2%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 94%
OpenAI 3.0%
Google 1.6%
Z.ai <1%
$68,955 KL.
$68,955 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$20,320 KL.
94%
OpenAI
$20,645 KL.
3%
$9,867 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$3,703 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,457 KL.
<1%
Alibaba
$2,129 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$642 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 KL.
<1%
Moonshot
$2,171 KL.
<1%
Meta
$1,715 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$499 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$458 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$466 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$450 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$449 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$459 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$609 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$518 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$599 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability reflects its Claude models—led by claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5 variants—occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with scores above 1530, well ahead of Google’s Gemini entries near 1525. Recent releases have delivered clear gains in chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-level problems, ArXivMath, FrontierMath tiers, and even formal theorem proving, backed by hundreds of thousands of blind preference votes. With resolution only days away on September 30, the stable lead leaves little room for reversal. A surprise high-impact release or major benchmark shift from OpenAI or Google in the final week remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$68,955Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability reflects its Claude models—led by claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5 variants—occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with scores above 1530, well ahead of Google’s Gemini entries near 1525. Recent releases have delivered clear gains in chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-level problems, ArXivMath, FrontierMath tiers, and even formal theorem proving, backed by hundreds of thousands of blind preference votes. With resolution only days away on September 30, the stable lead leaves little room for reversal. A surprise high-impact release or major benchmark shift from OpenAI or Google in the final week remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$68,955Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability reflects its Claude models—led by claude-opus-5-max and claude-fable-5 variants—occupying the top ranks on the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with scores above 1530, well ahead of Google’s Gemini entries near 1525. Recent releases have delivered clear gains in chain-of-thought reasoning on competition-level problems, ArXivMath, FrontierMath tiers, and even formal theorem proving, backed by hundreds of thousands of blind preference votes. With resolution only days away on September 30, the stable lead leaves little room for reversal. A surprise high-impact release or major benchmark shift from OpenAI or Google in the final week remains the only realistic scenario that could alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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