Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this Text Arena Math market at 68.5% implied probability due to its Claude models, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview, consistently topping arena.ai math rankings and benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K through strong reasoning performance as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases and extended chain-of-thought capabilities have widened its edge over competitors such as OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in head-to-head evaluations. Lower odds for Google at 16.7% and OpenAI at 13.0% reflect lagging scores despite ongoing updates, while Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba trail further behind. Key catalysts through October include potential new model drops or benchmark shifts that could alter the leaderboard before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 69%
OpenAI 15%
Google 13.6%
Alibaba 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
69%
OpenAI
15%
14%
Alibaba
2%
Tencent
2%
Xiaomi
2%
Moonshot
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
StepFun
1%
Meituan
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
Z.ai
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
ByteDance
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 15%
Google 13.6%
Alibaba 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$1,278 KL.
69%
OpenAI
$277 KL.
15%
$217 KL.
14%
Alibaba
$120 KL.
2%
Tencent
$208 KL.
2%
Xiaomi
$245 KL.
2%
Moonshot
$120 KL.
2%
SpaceXAI
$122 KL.
1%
Meta
$130 KL.
1%
StepFun
$189 KL.
1%
Meituan
$169 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$255 KL.
1%
Amazon
$204 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$196 KL.
1%
Nvidia
$192 KL.
1%
MiniMax
$209 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$196 KL.
1%
Mistral
$231 KL.
1%
Microsoft
$171 KL.
1%
Baidu
$171 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this Text Arena Math market at 68.5% implied probability due to its Claude models, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview, consistently topping arena.ai math rankings and benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K through strong reasoning performance as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases and extended chain-of-thought capabilities have widened its edge over competitors such as OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in head-to-head evaluations. Lower odds for Google at 16.7% and OpenAI at 13.0% reflect lagging scores despite ongoing updates, while Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba trail further behind. Key catalysts through October include potential new model drops or benchmark shifts that could alter the leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this Text Arena Math market at 68.5% implied probability due to its Claude models, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview, consistently topping arena.ai math rankings and benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K through strong reasoning performance as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases and extended chain-of-thought capabilities have widened its edge over competitors such as OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in head-to-head evaluations. Lower odds for Google at 16.7% and OpenAI at 13.0% reflect lagging scores despite ongoing updates, while Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba trail further behind. Key catalysts through October include potential new model drops or benchmark shifts that could alter the leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment in this Text Arena Math market at 68.5% implied probability due to its Claude models, including Opus 4.8 and Mythos Preview, consistently topping arena.ai math rankings and benchmarks like MATH, AIME, and GSM8K through strong reasoning performance as of mid-August 2026. Recent releases and extended chain-of-thought capabilities have widened its edge over competitors such as OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini in head-to-head evaluations. Lower odds for Google at 16.7% and OpenAI at 13.0% reflect lagging scores despite ongoing updates, while Chinese labs like Moonshot and Alibaba trail further behind. Key catalysts through October include potential new model drops or benchmark shifts that could alter the leaderboard before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp