Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s strong consensus for 2026’s biggest opening weekend thanks to explosive early tracking reports and its prime December 18 holiday release slot, which historically fuels tentpole event films. The MCU crossover reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom with returning Avengers stars has reignited franchise momentum after recent box-office variability, with industry sources noting Infinity War-level test screenings and sustained hype that positions it well ahead of summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails on its July 31 date and Tom Holland appeal but contends with earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already claimed the year’s highest domestic debut so far. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah face tighter opening-weekend ceilings from mid-year timing and less proven crossover draw, though any late-breaking critical or marketing surges could still shift the narrow gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBộ phim nào có doanh thu cuối tuần mở màn cao nhất vào năm 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 15%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 2.8%
$1,571,931 KL.
$1,571,931 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
15%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 15%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 2.8%
$1,571,931 KL.
$1,571,931 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
15%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands the market’s strong consensus for 2026’s biggest opening weekend thanks to explosive early tracking reports and its prime December 18 holiday release slot, which historically fuels tentpole event films. The MCU crossover reuniting Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom with returning Avengers stars has reignited franchise momentum after recent box-office variability, with industry sources noting Infinity War-level test screenings and sustained hype that positions it well ahead of summer competitors. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails on its July 31 date and Tom Holland appeal but contends with earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie that have already claimed the year’s highest domestic debut so far. Lower-probability entries such as Toy Story 5 and Dune: Messiah face tighter opening-weekend ceilings from mid-year timing and less proven crossover draw, though any late-breaking critical or marketing surges could still shift the narrow gap.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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