Avengers: Doomsday commands the leading market-implied odds at 72.5% due to its positioning as the first Avengers installment in years, amplified by Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile return as Doctor Doom and a prime December 18 holiday release that historically drives massive openings. Recent trailer momentum and industry tracking reports underscore the film's event-level anticipation within the MCU. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 17.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and early box-office forecasts, though it contends with a saturated summer window. Toy Story 5 sits at 3.1% thanks to Pixar's June 19 family draw, yet historical patterns show animated entries rarely top live-action spectacles in opening weekends. Other contenders like The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah remain long shots absent major new developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBộ phim nào có doanh thu cuối tuần mở màn cao nhất vào năm 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 2.2%
$1,571,780 KL.
$1,571,780 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
18%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 18%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
The Odyssey 2.2%
$1,571,780 KL.
$1,571,780 KL.
Avengers: Doomsday
73%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
18%
Toy Story 5
3%
The Odyssey
2%
Dune: Messiah
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian và Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Phim The Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday commands the leading market-implied odds at 72.5% due to its positioning as the first Avengers installment in years, amplified by Robert Downey Jr.'s high-profile return as Doctor Doom and a prime December 18 holiday release that historically drives massive openings. Recent trailer momentum and industry tracking reports underscore the film's event-level anticipation within the MCU. Spider-Man: Brand New Day trails at 17.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and early box-office forecasts, though it contends with a saturated summer window. Toy Story 5 sits at 3.1% thanks to Pixar's June 19 family draw, yet historical patterns show animated entries rarely top live-action spectacles in opening weekends. Other contenders like The Odyssey and Dune: Messiah remain long shots absent major new developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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