Trader consensus strongly favors no U.S. hurricane landfall by May 31, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, with zero formation expected over the next seven days amid unfavorable conditions like cool sea surface temperatures and high vertical wind shear typical of early May. Historical records since 1851 confirm zero continental U.S. hurricane landfalls in May, reinforcing this positioning. Colorado State University forecasts a below-normal 2026 season due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño, boosting shear. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks resume May 15; an unforeseen disturbance organizing rapidly into a hurricane steered toward the coast could challenge this, though probabilities remain low given climatological precedents.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
$22,293 KL.
$22,293 KL.
May 31, 2026
$22,293 KL.
$22,293 KL.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.Trader consensus strongly favors no U.S. hurricane landfall by May 31, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, with zero formation expected over the next seven days amid unfavorable conditions like cool sea surface temperatures and high vertical wind shear typical of early May. Historical records since 1851 confirm zero continental U.S. hurricane landfalls in May, reinforcing this positioning. Colorado State University forecasts a below-normal 2026 season due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño, boosting shear. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks resume May 15; an unforeseen disturbance organizing rapidly into a hurricane steered toward the coast could challenge this, though probabilities remain low given climatological precedents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Thị trường mở: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,293Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.Trader consensus strongly favors no U.S. hurricane landfall by May 31, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, with zero formation expected over the next seven days amid unfavorable conditions like cool sea surface temperatures and high vertical wind shear typical of early May. Historical records since 1851 confirm zero continental U.S. hurricane landfalls in May, reinforcing this positioning. Colorado State University forecasts a below-normal 2026 season due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño, boosting shear. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks resume May 15; an unforeseen disturbance organizing rapidly into a hurricane steered toward the coast could challenge this, though probabilities remain low given climatological precedents.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Khối lượng
$22,293Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus strongly favors no U.S. hurricane landfall by May 31, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest assessments showing no active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins, with zero formation expected over the next seven days amid unfavorable conditions like cool sea surface temperatures and high vertical wind shear typical of early May. Historical records since 1851 confirm zero continental U.S. hurricane landfalls in May, reinforcing this positioning. Colorado State University forecasts a below-normal 2026 season due to a weak La Niña transitioning to El Niño, boosting shear. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks resume May 15; an unforeseen disturbance organizing rapidly into a hurricane steered toward the coast could challenge this, though probabilities remain low given climatological precedents.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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