Senate Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority, positioning them to invoke the nuclear option—a simple-majority vote to lower the cloture threshold below 60 for legislative filibuster—yet internal divisions keep trader consensus skeptical. Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on May 12 insufficient GOP support, with moderates like Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Thom Tillis opposing amid 2026 midterm risks. Pressure persists from Sens. Ron Johnson (April 27 DHS funding push), Mike Lee, and Rick Scott for the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, plus President Trump's repeated urgings. Recent procedural votes, including a 29-17 defeat with GOP defections, underscore disunity; traders eye funding deadlines, debt ceiling talks, or whip count shifts before December 31 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$559,667 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
28%
$559,667 KL.
December 31, 2026
$4,706 KL.
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority, positioning them to invoke the nuclear option—a simple-majority vote to lower the cloture threshold below 60 for legislative filibuster—yet internal divisions keep trader consensus skeptical. Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on May 12 insufficient GOP support, with moderates like Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Thom Tillis opposing amid 2026 midterm risks. Pressure persists from Sens. Ron Johnson (April 27 DHS funding push), Mike Lee, and Rick Scott for the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, plus President Trump's repeated urgings. Recent procedural votes, including a 29-17 defeat with GOP defections, underscore disunity; traders eye funding deadlines, debt ceiling talks, or whip count shifts before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$559,667Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority, positioning them to invoke the nuclear option—a simple-majority vote to lower the cloture threshold below 60 for legislative filibuster—yet internal divisions keep trader consensus skeptical. Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on May 12 insufficient GOP support, with moderates like Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Thom Tillis opposing amid 2026 midterm risks. Pressure persists from Sens. Ron Johnson (April 27 DHS funding push), Mike Lee, and Rick Scott for the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, plus President Trump's repeated urgings. Recent procedural votes, including a 29-17 defeat with GOP defections, underscore disunity; traders eye funding deadlines, debt ceiling talks, or whip count shifts before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Khối lượng
$559,667Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a slim 53-47 majority, positioning them to invoke the nuclear option—a simple-majority vote to lower the cloture threshold below 60 for legislative filibuster—yet internal divisions keep trader consensus skeptical. Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on May 12 insufficient GOP support, with moderates like Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, and Thom Tillis opposing amid 2026 midterm risks. Pressure persists from Sens. Ron Johnson (April 27 DHS funding push), Mike Lee, and Rick Scott for the SAVE America Act requiring proof of citizenship to vote, plus President Trump's repeated urgings. Recent procedural votes, including a 29-17 defeat with GOP defections, underscore disunity; traders eye funding deadlines, debt ceiling talks, or whip count shifts before December 31 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp