**Democratic calls for impeachment have intensified since spring 2026 amid the Iran conflict and related presidential statements, with more than 70 House members backing resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing abuse of war powers and other alleged high crimes.** Multiple articles have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, though Republican House leadership has blocked floor action to date. Traders see the November 2026 midterms as the pivotal catalyst: a Democratic House majority would likely prioritize impeachment proceedings in 2027, raising the implied probability of House passage before January 2029 even if Senate conviction remains improbable. Trump has publicly flagged this risk, urging Republicans to retain Congress to avoid it. The 62% Yes price reflects this midterm-driven scenario alongside persistent partisan pressure, tempered by the structural barriers of divided government and historical patterns of impeachment without removal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật62% khả năng
$89,039 KL.
$89,039 KL.
Jan 20, 2029
62% khả năng
$89,039 KL.
$89,039 KL.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic calls for impeachment have intensified since spring 2026 amid the Iran conflict and related presidential statements, with more than 70 House members backing resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing abuse of war powers and other alleged high crimes.** Multiple articles have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, though Republican House leadership has blocked floor action to date. Traders see the November 2026 midterms as the pivotal catalyst: a Democratic House majority would likely prioritize impeachment proceedings in 2027, raising the implied probability of House passage before January 2029 even if Senate conviction remains improbable. Trump has publicly flagged this risk, urging Republicans to retain Congress to avoid it. The 62% Yes price reflects this midterm-driven scenario alongside persistent partisan pressure, tempered by the structural barriers of divided government and historical patterns of impeachment without removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$89,039Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic calls for impeachment have intensified since spring 2026 amid the Iran conflict and related presidential statements, with more than 70 House members backing resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing abuse of war powers and other alleged high crimes.** Multiple articles have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, though Republican House leadership has blocked floor action to date. Traders see the November 2026 midterms as the pivotal catalyst: a Democratic House majority would likely prioritize impeachment proceedings in 2027, raising the implied probability of House passage before January 2029 even if Senate conviction remains improbable. Trump has publicly flagged this risk, urging Republicans to retain Congress to avoid it. The 62% Yes price reflects this midterm-driven scenario alongside persistent partisan pressure, tempered by the structural barriers of divided government and historical patterns of impeachment without removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Khối lượng
$89,039Ngày kết thúc
Jan 20, 2029Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Democratic calls for impeachment have intensified since spring 2026 amid the Iran conflict and related presidential statements, with more than 70 House members backing resolutions or 25th Amendment invocations citing abuse of war powers and other alleged high crimes.** Multiple articles have already been introduced in the 119th Congress, though Republican House leadership has blocked floor action to date. Traders see the November 2026 midterms as the pivotal catalyst: a Democratic House majority would likely prioritize impeachment proceedings in 2027, raising the implied probability of House passage before January 2029 even if Senate conviction remains improbable. Trump has publicly flagged this risk, urging Republicans to retain Congress to avoid it. The 62% Yes price reflects this midterm-driven scenario alongside persistent partisan pressure, tempered by the structural barriers of divided government and historical patterns of impeachment without removal.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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