David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination in the August 11 primary by a margin of roughly 0.5 percentage points over state Representative Francesca Hong, with final tallies showing approximately 39.8% to 39.3%. Late consolidation among moderate and establishment voters, bolstered by outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, enabled Crowley to overcome Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead in a low-turnout contest featuring multiple candidates. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects these certified results and Hong’s concession, which removed realistic prospects for a recount. Remaining uncertainty centers on minor adjustments during final canvassing or certification timelines, though such changes are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrowest brackets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)
Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 98.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.4%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,125 KL.
$213,125 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
<1%
Hong <0.2%
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
<1%
Crowley 2%+
<1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 98.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.4%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$213,125 KL.
$213,125 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 KL.
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 KL.
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 KL.
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 KL.
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 KL.
<1%
Hong <0.2%
$576 KL.
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
$37,514 KL.
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$41,432 KL.
1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$38,963 KL.
99%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$29,982 KL.
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$26,575 KL.
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 KL.
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 KL.
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 KL.
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 KL.
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 KL.
<1%
Crowley 2%+
$521 KL.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination in the August 11 primary by a margin of roughly 0.5 percentage points over state Representative Francesca Hong, with final tallies showing approximately 39.8% to 39.3%. Late consolidation among moderate and establishment voters, bolstered by outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, enabled Crowley to overcome Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead in a low-turnout contest featuring multiple candidates. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects these certified results and Hong’s concession, which removed realistic prospects for a recount. Remaining uncertainty centers on minor adjustments during final canvassing or certification timelines, though such changes are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrowest brackets.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$213,125Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination in the August 11 primary by a margin of roughly 0.5 percentage points over state Representative Francesca Hong, with final tallies showing approximately 39.8% to 39.3%. Late consolidation among moderate and establishment voters, bolstered by outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, enabled Crowley to overcome Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead in a low-turnout contest featuring multiple candidates. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects these certified results and Hong’s concession, which removed realistic prospects for a recount. Remaining uncertainty centers on minor adjustments during final canvassing or certification timelines, though such changes are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrowest brackets.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$213,125Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination in the August 11 primary by a margin of roughly 0.5 percentage points over state Representative Francesca Hong, with final tallies showing approximately 39.8% to 39.3%. Late consolidation among moderate and establishment voters, bolstered by outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, enabled Crowley to overcome Hong’s earlier double-digit polling lead in a low-turnout contest featuring multiple candidates. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects these certified results and Hong’s concession, which removed realistic prospects for a recount. Remaining uncertainty centers on minor adjustments during final canvassing or certification timelines, though such changes are unlikely to shift the outcome outside the narrowest brackets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp