xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$20,870 KL.
Feb 28, 2026
25%+
57%
30%+
49%
40%+
40%
50%+
18%
$20,870 KL.
25%+
$5,197 KL.
57%
30%+
$12,605 KL.
49%
40%+
$2,898 KL.
40%
50%+
$170 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,870Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$20,870Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently trail leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.4, which tops the FrontierMath benchmark—a rigorous test of advanced mathematical reasoning featuring unpublished research-level problems—at around 48%, while Grok 4 scores approximately 14% in Epoch AI evaluations. Recent xAI releases, including efficient Grok 4.3 (500B parameters) dominating coding benchmarks like PinchBench (81%) and instruction-following tests, signal rapid iteration and competitive scaling via massive GPU clusters, fueling trader optimism for math gains. Elon Musk's teases of Grok matching top rivals by June heighten anticipation for a potential Grok 5 rollout or reevaluation before the June 30 deadline, though FrontierMath's contamination-resistant design poses steep barriers amid uncertain timelines.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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