OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro holds the FrontierMath lead at 52.4% as of May 12, driving trader skepticism on Anthropic Claude surpassing key thresholds by June 30, with Claude Opus 4.6's February tie at 40% on tiers 1-3 now trailing amid rapid leaderboard shifts. Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence—major releases every two weeks, including Opus 4.7 improvements—has boosted math reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration, but Claude lags OpenAI and DeepMind's recent 48% Tier 4 breakthrough. Claude 5, rumored for Q2-Q3 with codename Fennec, represents the pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating scores through scaled training and symbolic reasoning advances. Traders eye pre-deadline evals amid competitive posturing, where benchmark slips or surprises remain common.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$61,907 交易量
2026-02-28
50%以上
53%
$61,907 交易量
50%以上
$14,873 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro holds the FrontierMath lead at 52.4% as of May 12, driving trader skepticism on Anthropic Claude surpassing key thresholds by June 30, with Claude Opus 4.6's February tie at 40% on tiers 1-3 now trailing amid rapid leaderboard shifts. Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence—major releases every two weeks, including Opus 4.7 improvements—has boosted math reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration, but Claude lags OpenAI and DeepMind's recent 48% Tier 4 breakthrough. Claude 5, rumored for Q2-Q3 with codename Fennec, represents the pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating scores through scaled training and symbolic reasoning advances. Traders eye pre-deadline evals amid competitive posturing, where benchmark slips or surprises remain common.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$61,907結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro holds the FrontierMath lead at 52.4% as of May 12, driving trader skepticism on Anthropic Claude surpassing key thresholds by June 30, with Claude Opus 4.6's February tie at 40% on tiers 1-3 now trailing amid rapid leaderboard shifts. Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence—major releases every two weeks, including Opus 4.7 improvements—has boosted math reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration, but Claude lags OpenAI and DeepMind's recent 48% Tier 4 breakthrough. Claude 5, rumored for Q2-Q3 with codename Fennec, represents the pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating scores through scaled training and symbolic reasoning advances. Traders eye pre-deadline evals amid competitive posturing, where benchmark slips or surprises remain common.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$61,907結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro holds the FrontierMath lead at 52.4% as of May 12, driving trader skepticism on Anthropic Claude surpassing key thresholds by June 30, with Claude Opus 4.6's February tie at 40% on tiers 1-3 now trailing amid rapid leaderboard shifts. Anthropic's aggressive 2026 cadence—major releases every two weeks, including Opus 4.7 improvements—has boosted math reasoning via enhanced chain-of-thought and tool integration, but Claude lags OpenAI and DeepMind's recent 48% Tier 4 breakthrough. Claude 5, rumored for Q2-Q3 with codename Fennec, represents the pivotal catalyst, potentially elevating scores through scaled training and symbolic reasoning advances. Traders eye pre-deadline evals amid competitive posturing, where benchmark slips or surprises remain common.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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