**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Turkish courts have repeatedly denied release motions throughout 2026, including during the ongoing mass trial involving over 400 defendants that began in March and continues with hearings into late 2026. A September 11, 2026, conviction in a separate defamation case added a 2-year, 1-month prison term and political restrictions, with İmamoğlu appearing via prison link. Additional proceedings, including espionage-related counts, extend custody timelines, and no executive or judicial developments in recent weeks have signaled an imminent release before the end of 2026. Traders view these layered legal processes and consistent detention rulings as the primary drivers behind the strong “No” consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Turkish courts have repeatedly denied release motions throughout 2026, including during the ongoing mass trial involving over 400 defendants that began in March and continues with hearings into late 2026. A September 11, 2026, conviction in a separate defamation case added a 2-year, 1-month prison term and political restrictions, with İmamoğlu appearing via prison link. Additional proceedings, including espionage-related counts, extend custody timelines, and no executive or judicial developments in recent weeks have signaled an imminent release before the end of 2026. Traders view these layered legal processes and consistent detention rulings as the primary drivers behind the strong “No” consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Turkish courts have repeatedly denied release motions throughout 2026, including during the ongoing mass trial involving over 400 defendants that began in March and continues with hearings into late 2026. A September 11, 2026, conviction in a separate defamation case added a 2-year, 1-month prison term and political restrictions, with İmamoğlu appearing via prison link. Additional proceedings, including espionage-related counts, extend custody timelines, and no executive or judicial developments in recent weeks have signaled an imminent release before the end of 2026. Traders view these layered legal processes and consistent detention rulings as the primary drivers behind the strong “No” consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,407結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET**Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, and related charges tied to Istanbul municipal operations.** Turkish courts have repeatedly denied release motions throughout 2026, including during the ongoing mass trial involving over 400 defendants that began in March and continues with hearings into late 2026. A September 11, 2026, conviction in a separate defamation case added a 2-year, 1-month prison term and political restrictions, with İmamoğlu appearing via prison link. Additional proceedings, including espionage-related counts, extend custody timelines, and no executive or judicial developments in recent weeks have signaled an imminent release before the end of 2026. Traders view these layered legal processes and consistent detention rulings as the primary drivers behind the strong “No” consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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