Traders see the 140–179 tweet range as the clearest landing zone for Elon Musk’s activity from August 14–21 because his recent daily pace on X has settled near the long-term average of roughly 20–25 posts, producing totals in that band when no major product launches or political firestorms intervene. With three days elapsed and roughly 34 posts recorded so far, the market’s tight pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine Tesla updates, AI commentary, or weekend engagement will push the final count slightly higher or keep it anchored lower. Historical weekly volumes and the absence of fresh catalysts this period support the current distribution, while any late-week spike in Grok-related posts or regulatory news could still shift the outcome within the narrow 140–199 corridor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於140-159 25%
160-179 23%
180-199 18%
120-139 16.6%
$733,761 交易量
$733,761 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
8%
120-139
17%
140-159
25%
160-179
23%
180-199
18%
200-219
10%
220-239
5%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 25%
160-179 23%
180-199 18%
120-139 16.6%
$733,761 交易量
$733,761 交易量
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
8%
120-139
17%
140-159
25%
160-179
23%
180-199
18%
200-219
10%
220-239
5%
240-259
1%
260-279
1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 140–179 tweet range as the clearest landing zone for Elon Musk’s activity from August 14–21 because his recent daily pace on X has settled near the long-term average of roughly 20–25 posts, producing totals in that band when no major product launches or political firestorms intervene. With three days elapsed and roughly 34 posts recorded so far, the market’s tight pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine Tesla updates, AI commentary, or weekend engagement will push the final count slightly higher or keep it anchored lower. Historical weekly volumes and the absence of fresh catalysts this period support the current distribution, while any late-week spike in Grok-related posts or regulatory news could still shift the outcome within the narrow 140–199 corridor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions