**Trader consensus has settled on the 200-219 bracket (60.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk’s X posts from September 15–22, 2026, with 220-239 a clear second at 38.5%.** Recent weekly totals have clustered in the low-to-mid 200s during routine periods, reflecting a steady pace of roughly 25–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout supplied the clearest mid-week catalyst, spurring clusters of promotional replies, benchmark commentary, and AI-related engagement that lifted volume without driving totals into outlier territory. Historical patterns and the absence of sustained high-volume days have kept higher brackets at minimal implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於200-219 61%
220-239 38%
240-259 1.7%
260-279 <1%
$1,873,749 交易量
$1,873,749 交易量
2026-09-22
200-219
61%
220-239
38%
240-259
2%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 61%
220-239 38%
240-259 1.7%
260-279 <1%
$1,873,749 交易量
$1,873,749 交易量
2026-09-22
200-219
$145,942 交易量
61%
220-239
$164,848 交易量
38%
240-259
$140,670 交易量
2%
260-279
$136,134 交易量
<1%
280-299
$123,767 交易量
<1%
300-319
$111,150 交易量
<1%
320-339
$62,153 交易量
<1%
340-359
$51,992 交易量
<1%
360-379
$36,275 交易量
<1%
380-399
$28,275 交易量
<1%
400-419
$29,138 交易量
<1%
420-439
$22,799 交易量
<1%
440-459
$15,753 交易量
<1%
460-479
$9,992 交易量
<1%
480-499
$10,570 交易量
<1%
500+
$46,359 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus has settled on the 200-219 bracket (60.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk’s X posts from September 15–22, 2026, with 220-239 a clear second at 38.5%.** Recent weekly totals have clustered in the low-to-mid 200s during routine periods, reflecting a steady pace of roughly 25–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout supplied the clearest mid-week catalyst, spurring clusters of promotional replies, benchmark commentary, and AI-related engagement that lifted volume without driving totals into outlier territory. Historical patterns and the absence of sustained high-volume days have kept higher brackets at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$1,873,749結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus has settled on the 200-219 bracket (60.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk’s X posts from September 15–22, 2026, with 220-239 a clear second at 38.5%.** Recent weekly totals have clustered in the low-to-mid 200s during routine periods, reflecting a steady pace of roughly 25–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout supplied the clearest mid-week catalyst, spurring clusters of promotional replies, benchmark commentary, and AI-related engagement that lifted volume without driving totals into outlier territory. Historical patterns and the absence of sustained high-volume days have kept higher brackets at minimal implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$1,873,749結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET**Trader consensus has settled on the 200-219 bracket (60.5% implied probability) for Elon Musk’s X posts from September 15–22, 2026, with 220-239 a clear second at 38.5%.** Recent weekly totals have clustered in the low-to-mid 200s during routine periods, reflecting a steady pace of roughly 25–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout supplied the clearest mid-week catalyst, spurring clusters of promotional replies, benchmark commentary, and AI-related engagement that lifted volume without driving totals into outlier territory. Historical patterns and the absence of sustained high-volume days have kept higher brackets at minimal implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions