Skip to main content
icon for Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

icon for Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

3月 31

3月 31

$312,098 交易量

2026-02-28
Polymarket

$312,098 交易量

Polymarket

50%+

$84,418 交易量

61%

55% 以上

$63,288 交易量

25%

60%+

$17,951 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 44.7–46.4% accuracy on the 2,500-question PhD-level benchmark, following its February 2026 release that lifted performance well above Gemini 3 Pro’s 37.5%. This edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 and Anthropic’s Claude models reflects ongoing gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and multimodal capabilities. A May 7 API update introducing Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite, alongside reports of enhanced “thinking” modes and a possible Gemini 4 preview, signals continued rapid iteration before the June 30 cutoff. Traders weigh these incremental releases against risks of benchmark saturation and evaluation variance when assessing whether any Gemini variant will clear higher score thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$312,098
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google DeepMind’s Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 44.7–46.4% accuracy on the 2,500-question PhD-level benchmark, following its February 2026 release that lifted performance well above Gemini 3 Pro’s 37.5%. This edge over OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 and Anthropic’s Claude models reflects ongoing gains in chain-of-thought reasoning and multimodal capabilities. A May 7 API update introducing Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite, alongside reports of enhanced “thinking” modes and a possible Gemini 4 preview, signals continued rapid iteration before the June 30 cutoff. Traders weigh these incremental releases against risks of benchmark saturation and evaluation variance when assessing whether any Gemini variant will clear higher score thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
交易量
$312,098
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40% 以上" at 100%, followed by "45% 以上" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?" has generated $312.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?" is "40% 以上" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45% 以上" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Google Gemini在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.