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icon for 5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？

5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？

icon for 5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？

5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 99.3%

Michael <1%

聖母瑪麗亞 <1%

荒原警探 <1%

Polymarket

$253,597 交易量

超級瑪利歐銀河電影 99.3%

Michael <1%

聖母瑪麗亞 <1%

荒原警探 <1%

Polymarket

$253,597 交易量

超級瑪利歐銀河電影

$33,156 交易量

99%

Michael

$98,712 交易量

1%

聖母瑪麗亞

$10,277 交易量

<1%

荒原警探

$54,349 交易量

<1%

你、我與托斯卡尼

$27,107 交易量

<1%

吹哨人

$22,207 交易量

<1%

Lorne

$7,789 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$253,597
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The Super Mario Galaxy Movie holds a commanding 99.3% market-implied probability as April 2026's top domestic earner through May 31, driven by its blockbuster $412 million-plus haul to date—topping charts with three straight No. 1 weekends, stellar family animation legs from Illumination, and Nintendo franchise momentum echoing the prior film's billion-dollar success. Strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings, and merchandising synergy have widened its gap over runner-up Michael ($245 million from a solid biopic opening) and underperformers like You, Me & Tuscany ($19 million rom-com flop) or limited releases Mother Mary, Wasteland Cop, The Whistler, and Lorne. Realistic upsets hinge on Mario's improbable sharp drop amid May competition or a late-April sleeper's explosive multipliers, though trader capital sees scant path forward with two weeks left.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$253,597
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 5:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film released in April 2026 with the highest domestic gross between opening and May 30, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 99%, followed by "Michael" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？" has generated $253.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？" is "超級瑪利歐銀河電影" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "5月31日國內票房最高的4月電影？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.