Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge over the Southeast driving Atlanta’s June 28 maximum into the low-to-mid 90s, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting heat indices near or above 100 °F. Scattered afternoon convection tied to weak shortwave energy and modest mid-level moisture could cap surface heating and shave a degree or two from the daily peak, keeping the distribution centered on the 90–93 °F bins that together command over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows a 93 °F normal high, but recent soil moisture from prior rains and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between the leading 92–93 °F (38.5 %) and 90–91 °F (29.0 %) outcomes. Updated model cycles and the 18Z NWS forecast discussion expected later today will be the next catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 28?
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 5.0%
96-97°F 4.2%
$25,969 交易量
$25,969 交易量
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 49%
90-91°F 5.0%
96-97°F 4.2%
$25,969 交易量
$25,969 交易量
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
47%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge over the Southeast driving Atlanta’s June 28 maximum into the low-to-mid 90s, with dew points in the low-to-mid 70s supporting heat indices near or above 100 °F. Scattered afternoon convection tied to weak shortwave energy and modest mid-level moisture could cap surface heating and shave a degree or two from the daily peak, keeping the distribution centered on the 90–93 °F bins that together command over two-thirds of market-implied probability. Historical June climatology shows a 93 °F normal high, but recent soil moisture from prior rains and variable boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread between the leading 92–93 °F (38.5 %) and 90–91 °F (29.0 %) outcomes. Updated model cycles and the 18Z NWS forecast discussion expected later today will be the next catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions