**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月28日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
6月28日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
66-67°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
華氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
華氏78度或更高
1%
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 20%
66-67°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
華氏59度或以下
$22 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$82 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$89 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$45 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$15 交易量
12%
68-69°F
$30 交易量
32%
70-71°F
$5 交易量
26%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
24%
74-75°F
$17 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$66 交易量
3%
華氏78度或更高
$79 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.**
This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$450結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.**
This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$450結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions