Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate Beijing's July 29 high will likely peak near 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited precipitation risk that could suppress afternoon maxima. Subtropical high pressure and typical July monsoon moisture create narrow margins between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while urban heat island effects and model spread on wind or insolation introduce uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these bins because official station readings (e.g., from Beijing's primary meteorological network) are highly sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any seabreeze influence, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs frequently fluctuate 2–3°C day-to-day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日北京最高溫度?
36°C 32%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
33°C 13%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
32%
37°C
10%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 32%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
33°C 13%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
32%
37°C
10%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 27, 2026, 4:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like timeanddate and regional models indicate Beijing's July 29 high will likely peak near 33–35°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited precipitation risk that could suppress afternoon maxima. Subtropical high pressure and typical July monsoon moisture create narrow margins between 35°C and 36°C outcomes, while urban heat island effects and model spread on wind or insolation introduce uncertainty. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these bins because official station readings (e.g., from Beijing's primary meteorological network) are highly sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any seabreeze influence, consistent with historical July variability where daily highs frequently fluctuate 2–3°C day-to-day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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